05 December 2009, Australia is a 48.2% and Germany 74.4% chance of getting to the Round of 16 ahead of Serbia 47.9% and Ghana 29.5% according to the Castrol Predictor, a new tool launched today by 2010 FIFA World Cup™ sponsor Castrol.

At the 2010 FIFA World Cup™ draw, Australia were drawn in a group against Germany, Ghana and Serbia and Castrol’s analysis of the performances of each of the 32 competing teams, shows that Australia has a 21.6% chance of getting to the Quarter finals, 10% to the semi-finals and 1.3% chance of winning the 2010 FIFA World Cup™.

The Castrol Predictor suggests that if Australia make it through to the round of 16, they are most likely to meet old rivals England.

The Castrol Predictor suggests Australia have a 20% chance of topping the group and a 48.2% chance of getting through the Group stage.

Should Australia make it through the group stage the Castrol Predictor can show who Australia are most likely to face in the next rounds too, depending on whether they finish top or 2nd.

Castrol has applied the same expertise they apply to the development of their oils to create the Castrol Predictor, using objective analysis and highly advanced technology to offer unique insights into winning performances.

Created by the same team of Castrol Performance Analysts behind the Castrol Rankings and Castrol Index, the Castrol Predictor measures past team and player performance to work out the attack and defence ratings of each nation.

Then, by simulating the tournament more than 100,000 times and taking into account the draw groupings, Castrol has calculated each team’s chances of progression through the FIFA World Cup™ group stages and ultimately, of winning the world’s most famous trophy.

The Castrol Predictor will be updated throughout the 2010 FIFA World Cup™ on castrolfootball.com, so fans can see the impact of each and every match result on their team’s chances.

The Castrol Predictor is fully interactive, letting fans find out how they will get on in their group, which teams they are most and least likely to meet at each round, and whether they’ll face a grudge match with arch rivals.

Castrol Senior Vice-President Mike Johnson added: “We want to offer real insight to football fans around the world and the Castrol Predictor does exactly that, offering fans a new and meaningful way of following their team through the 2010 FIFA World Cup™. As passionate football fans we are looking forward with great excitement to using the Castrol Predictor throughout the tournament next year.”